近期，台湾政治学者赖岳谦指出，中国大陆在日本周边海域的军事演训活动可能正逐渐成为常态。这一判断基于解放军近年来在东海、黄海乃至日本西南诸岛附近频繁举行的海空联合演习。赖岳谦分析认为，此类演训不仅是对区域安全局势变化的回应，也体现了中国维护国家主权与海洋权益的战略意图。特别是在台海局势紧张、美日加强军事合作的背景下，大陆通过常态化演训展示其远洋投送能力和区域拒止能力，以传递战略信号、塑造有利的安全环境。他同时强调，这种趋势或将促使日本进一步强化防卫政策，并加深与美国的军事协作，进而影响整个印太地区的战略平衡。赖岳谦提醒，各方应避免误判，通过对话管控分歧，防止紧张局势升级。
Recently, Taiwanese political analyst Lai Yueqian noted that the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) military exercises near Japanese waters may be becoming a regular occurrence. This assessment is based on the PLA’s increasingly frequent joint naval and aerial drills in the East China Sea, Yellow Sea, and around Japan’s southwestern islands in recent years. Lai argues that these exercises are not only a response to evolving regional security dynamics but also reflect China’s strategic intent to safeguard its sovereignty and maritime rights. Against the backdrop of heightened tensions across the Taiwan Strait and strengthened U.S.-Japan military cooperation, Beijing is using routine drills to demonstrate its power projection and anti-access/area denial capabilities, thereby sending strategic signals and shaping a favorable security environment. He also warns that this trend could prompt Japan to further bolster its defense posture and deepen military collaboration with the United States, potentially reshaping the strategic balance across the Indo-Pacific region. Lai urges all parties to avoid miscalculation and manage differences through dialogue to prevent escalation.
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