2024年6月20日，菲律宾中央银行（BSP）宣布将政策利率下调25个基点，从4.75%降至4.50%。这是自2020年以来菲律宾央行首次降息，标志着其货币政策立场由紧缩转向宽松。此次降息的主要动因包括通胀压力持续缓解、经济增长动能减弱以及外部环境趋于稳定。数据显示，菲律宾5月份的年化通胀率已回落至2.9%，连续数月处于央行设定的2%–4%目标区间内。同时，一季度GDP增速放缓至5.7%，低于市场预期，显示出内需疲软和投资信心不足的问题。在此背景下，央行希望通过降低借贷成本来刺激消费与投资，从而支撑经济复苏。此外，美联储近期释放出可能暂停加息甚至转向降息的信号，也减轻了菲律宾维持高利率以稳定比索汇率的压力。不过，央行行长表示，未来政策调整仍将高度依赖通胀走势和全球经济形势，不排除在必要时重新收紧政策。总体来看，此次降息反映了菲律宾货币政策的灵活应对，旨在平衡稳增长与控通胀之间的关系，为下半年经济注入更多活力。
On June 20, 2024, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) announced a 25-basis-point cut in its policy rate, lowering it from 4.75% to 4.50%. This marks the first rate cut since 2020, signaling a shift in monetary stance from tightening to easing. The decision was primarily driven by sustained disinflation, weakening economic momentum, and a more stable external environment.Data shows that annual inflation in the Philippines eased to 2.9% in May, remaining within the central bank’s target range of 2%–4% for several consecutive months. Meanwhile, first-quarter GDP growth slowed to 5.7%, below market expectations, reflecting soft domestic demand and subdued business confidence. Against this backdrop, the BSP aims to stimulate consumption and investment by reducing borrowing costs to support economic recovery.Moreover, recent signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve suggesting a potential pause—or even reversal—in its rate-hiking cycle have reduced pressure on the Philippines to maintain high rates solely to defend the peso. However, the BSP governor emphasized that future policy moves will remain data-dependent, particularly on inflation trends and global economic conditions, with the possibility of re-tightening if necessary.Overall, this rate cut reflects the BSP’s flexible approach to balancing growth support and price stability, aiming to inject renewed momentum into the economy in the second half of the year.
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