近期，日本政坛再度陷入内斗风波，执政党自民党内部派系矛盾激化，引发广泛关注。导火索是围绕下一任自民党总裁（即日本首相）人选的激烈争夺。随着现任首相岸田文雄支持率持续低迷，党内多个派系开始暗中布局，试图推举自己的候选人。其中，前首相安倍晋三所属的“清和政策研究会”（细田派）与麻生太郎领导的“志公会”（麻生派）之间的角力尤为突出。此外，财务大臣铃木俊一、外务大臣上川阳子等重量级人物也被视为潜在接班人，加剧了权力博弈的复杂性。这场内斗不仅影响自民党内部团结，也对日本外交与经济政策带来不确定性。例如，在防卫预算扩张、日元汇率干预以及对华政策等关键议题上，不同派系立场存在明显分歧。若内耗持续，可能削弱政府决策效率，甚至影响2025年参议院选举的选情。分析人士指出，自民党若不能尽快弥合分歧、重塑领导力，其长期执政地位或将面临挑战。
Japanese politics has recently been plunged into renewed internal strife, as factional tensions within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) intensify. The immediate trigger is the fierce competition over who will succeed the current Prime Minister, Fumio Kishida, as LDP president—a position that effectively determines Japan’s next prime minister. With Kishida’s approval ratings remaining persistently low, multiple LDP factions have begun quietly positioning their preferred candidates. Notably, the rivalry between Shinzo Abe’s former faction, the Seiwa Seisaku Kenkyūkai (Hosoda faction), and Taro Aso’s Shikōkai (Aso faction) has become especially pronounced. Additionally, heavyweight figures such as Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki and Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa are also seen as potential successors, further complicating the power struggle.This infighting not only threatens party unity but also introduces uncertainty into Japan’s foreign and economic policies. Key issues—including defense budget expansion, yen intervention strategies, and approaches toward China—reveal clear policy divides among factions. Prolonged internal discord could undermine governmental decision-making efficiency and negatively impact the LDP’s prospects in the upcoming 2025 House of Councillors election. Analysts warn that unless the LDP swiftly reconciles its internal differences and reasserts strong leadership, its long-standing dominance in Japanese politics may be at risk.
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