根据中国气象局及多家国际气候机构的最新预测，2025年1月我国大部分地区气温将呈现“北冷南暖”的格局。北方地区，尤其是东北、华北和西北部分地区，受频繁冷空气活动影响，平均气温可能较常年同期偏低1～2℃，并可能出现阶段性强寒潮天气，带来大范围降雪和道路结冰风险。南方地区则受偏强的副热带高压和暖湿气流共同作用，气温整体偏高，江南、华南等地降水偏多，局部地区需防范持续阴雨对交通和农业的影响。此外，拉尼娜现象虽未正式形成，但赤道中东太平洋海温持续偏低，可能间接增强冬季风强度，进一步加剧北方寒冷趋势。公众应密切关注临近天气预报，提前做好防寒保暖和出行安全准备，农业部门也需加强设施农业保温措施，以应对可能出现的极端低温事件。
According to the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and several international climate agencies, January 2025 is expected to feature a ‘cold north, warm south’ temperature pattern across China. Northern regions—including Northeast, North, and parts of Northwest China—are likely to experience average temperatures 1–2°C below normal due to frequent cold air outbreaks, with potential episodes of intense cold waves bringing widespread snowfall and icy road conditions. In contrast, southern areas will likely see above-average temperatures, driven by a stronger-than-usual subtropical high and abundant moisture transport. Increased rainfall is anticipated in the Jiangnan and South China regions, raising concerns about prolonged overcast and rainy weather impacting transportation and agriculture. Although a La Niña event has not officially developed, persistently cooler sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific may indirectly strengthen the East Asian winter monsoon, further amplifying cold conditions in the north. The public is advised to monitor short-term weather updates closely and prepare accordingly for cold protection and travel safety, while agricultural sectors should reinforce protective measures for greenhouse farming against possible extreme cold spells.
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