近期，多位经济政策专家警告称，若唐纳德·特朗普在2024年大选中胜出，他可能在2026年对美联储施加更大压力，以实现其政治和经济目标。这种行为被部分分析人士称为“压榨”（squeeze）美联储——即通过公开批评、人事任命或立法手段干预央行独立性，迫使其采取更宽松的货币政策。专家指出，特朗普过去曾多次公开抨击美联储加息政策，认为这会抑制经济增长并影响其连任前景。若他在2025年重返白宫，很可能在2026年中期选举前推动降息，以刺激经济、提振股市。而届时恰逢美联储主席鲍威尔任期结束（2026年5月），特朗普或将提名更顺从其立场的新主席，从而间接掌控货币政策走向。然而，这种干预可能削弱美联储的公信力，引发市场对通胀失控和政治干预货币政策的担忧。历史经验表明，央行独立性是维持长期价格稳定和金融信心的关键。因此，专家呼吁警惕政治力量对美联储的过度影响，以维护美国乃至全球经济的稳定。
Recently, several economic policy experts have warned that if Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, he could exert significant pressure on the Federal Reserve by 2026 to advance his political and economic agenda. Some analysts describe this potential move as ‘squeezing’ the Fed—using public criticism, strategic appointments, or legislative tactics to undermine the central bank’s independence and push it toward more accommodative monetary policies.Experts note that Trump has repeatedly criticized the Fed’s interest rate hikes in the past, arguing they stifle economic growth and hurt his re-election prospects. If he returns to the White House in 2025, he may push for rate cuts ahead of the 2026 midterm elections to stimulate the economy and boost stock markets. This timing coincides with the end of Chair Jerome Powell’s term in May 2026, potentially allowing Trump to appoint a more compliant successor and indirectly steer monetary policy.However, such interference could erode the Fed’s credibility and raise market concerns about uncontrolled inflation and politicized monetary decisions. Historical evidence shows that central bank independence is crucial for long-term price stability and financial confidence. Experts therefore urge vigilance against excessive political influence over the Fed to safeguard economic stability in the U.S. and globally.
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