截至最新官方公告，澳大利亚的国家恐怖威胁级别仍维持在‘可能’（Probable）等级。该级别由澳大利亚安全情报组织（ASIO）设定，意味着当局评估认为恐怖袭击‘有可能发生’。自2015年9月起，澳政府将恐怖威胁级别从‘中等’上调至‘可能’，此后一直未作调整。‘可能’是澳大利亚五级恐怖威胁体系中的第三级，介于‘预期’（Expected）和‘中等’（Medium）之间。这一评估基于情报机构对国内外极端主义活动、潜在袭击者意图与能力的综合判断。尽管没有具体、迫在眉睫的袭击计划被公开披露，但政府强调仍需保持高度警惕，特别是在大型公共活动、交通枢纽和标志性建筑等敏感区域。澳大利亚政府鼓励公众保持警觉，若发现可疑行为或物品，应立即向警方报告。同时，联邦与各州执法部门持续加强反恐合作，包括监控、情报共享和应急演练，以提升整体应对能力。虽然当前威胁级别未升高，但国际局势变化、网络极端主义传播以及独狼式袭击风险等因素，仍使反恐工作不可松懈。总体而言，‘可能’级别的维持反映出政府对潜在风险的审慎态度，也提醒社会在享受安全环境的同时，不可忽视隐蔽的威胁。
As of the latest official announcement, Australia’s National Terrorism Threat Level remains at ‘Probable.’ This level, set by the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO), indicates that authorities assess a terrorist attack as ‘likely to occur.’ The threat level was raised from ‘Medium’ to ‘Probable’ in September 2015 and has remained unchanged since.‘Probable’ is the third level in Australia’s five-tier terrorism threat scale, positioned between ‘Expected’ and ‘Medium.’ This assessment is based on intelligence agencies’ analysis of domestic and international extremist activities, as well as the intent and capability of potential attackers. While no specific or imminent attack plots have been publicly disclosed, the government stresses the need for continued vigilance—particularly around major public events, transport hubs, and iconic landmarks.The Australian government encourages the public to stay alert and report any suspicious behavior or items to police immediately. Federal and state law enforcement agencies continue to enhance counter-terrorism cooperation through surveillance, intelligence sharing, and emergency response drills to strengthen national preparedness. Although the threat level has not been elevated, evolving global tensions, online radicalization, and the risk of lone-actor attacks mean counter-terrorism efforts must remain robust.Overall, maintaining the ‘Probable’ level reflects the government’s cautious stance toward latent threats and serves as a reminder that while Australia remains relatively safe, underlying risks persist.
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