近日，清华大学国家金融研究院院长朱民指出，美国正面临一场财政不可持续的危机。他强调，美国政府债务规模已突破34万亿美元，且仍在快速增长，而其经济增长率和财政收入却难以支撑如此庞大的债务负担。朱民认为，这种结构性失衡不仅削弱了美国财政政策的灵活性，还可能引发长期通胀压力、美元信用受损以及全球金融市场动荡。他特别提到，当前美国依赖不断发债来维持财政运转，但随着利率上升和债务利息支出激增，未来财政空间将被进一步压缩。若不进行深层次的财政改革，包括控制支出、提高税收或调整社会保障体系，美国或将陷入债务螺旋，影响其全球经济领导地位。朱民呼吁国际社会关注这一风险，并建议各国加强自身财政纪律，以应对潜在的外部冲击。
Recently, Zhu Min, Dean of the National Institute of Financial Research at Tsinghua University, stated that the United States is facing a fiscally unsustainable crisis. He emphasized that U.S. government debt has surpassed $34 trillion and continues to grow rapidly, while economic growth and fiscal revenues are insufficient to support such a massive debt burden. According to Zhu, this structural imbalance not only undermines the flexibility of U.S. fiscal policy but also risks triggering persistent inflationary pressures, eroding confidence in the U.S. dollar, and destabilizing global financial markets. He specifically noted that the U.S. currently relies on continuous borrowing to sustain its fiscal operations, yet rising interest rates and surging debt servicing costs are severely limiting future fiscal space. Without deep structural reforms—such as controlling expenditures, raising tax revenues, or adjusting social security systems—the U.S. could fall into a debt spiral that jeopardizes its global economic leadership. Zhu urged the international community to pay close attention to this risk and recommended that countries strengthen their own fiscal discipline to prepare for potential external shocks.
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