近期多项民调显示，台北市长候选人蒋万安在支持度上大幅领先绿营（民进党）候选人。根据最新公布的几份主流媒体与学术机构的调查数据，蒋万安的支持率普遍维持在40%以上，而绿营候选人的支持度则多在20%至30%之间徘徊，差距明显。分析指出，蒋万安凭借其稳健的市政论述、清晰的政策主张以及相对正面的公众形象，在中间选民和年轻族群中获得广泛认可。此外，蓝营基本盘的稳固整合，以及部分无党籍选民的倾向，也为其领先优势提供了支撑。相较之下，绿营候选人因党内初选争议、议题聚焦不足及地方经营薄弱等因素，未能有效凝聚支持力量。尽管选举尚未正式展开，但当前民调趋势已引发各界对台北市长选情走向的高度关注。值得注意的是，民调虽具参考价值，但实际投票结果仍受竞选策略、突发事件及选民动员等多重因素影响。
Recent polls show that Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang (KMT) candidate for Taipei mayor, holds a significant lead over his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) rival. According to several recent surveys conducted by major media outlets and academic institutions, Chiang’s support rate consistently exceeds 40%, while the DPP candidate hovers between 20% and 30%, revealing a clear gap. Analysts attribute Chiang’s advantage to his steady policy proposals, coherent messaging on municipal governance, and a generally favorable public image, which have resonated particularly well with moderate and younger voters. Additionally, strong consolidation of the KMT’s core supporters and support from some independent voters have further bolstered his position. In contrast, the DPP candidate has struggled to galvanize broad backing due to internal primary disputes, lack of focused campaign issues, and relatively weak local grassroots connections. Although the official election period has not yet begun, these polling trends have already drawn considerable attention to the Taipei mayoral race. It should be noted, however, that while polls offer valuable insights, the final outcome will still depend on campaign strategies, unforeseen events, and voter mobilization efforts.
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