去年11月全球经贸摩擦指数仍处于高位，反映出国际贸易环境持续紧张、地缘政治冲突及经济政策不确定性对全球供应链的深远影响。该指数通过监测进出口限制措施、关税壁垒、贸易救济调查等关键指标，综合评估经贸摩擦的严重程度。高位运行表明贸易保护主义措施增加，多国为保护本土产业频繁动用贸易限制工具，导致跨境贸易成本上升、企业信心受挫。这一趋势与全球经济复苏乏力、通胀高企的宏观背景密切相关。主要经济体货币政策分化、市场需求疲软进一步加剧了国际经贸摩擦。长期来看，持续的贸易紧张可能抑制投资与技术创新，拖慢全球经济增长，尤其对依赖出口的发展中国家冲击显著。国际组织呼吁通过多边对话与协调降低摩擦，维护开放稳定的国际贸易秩序。
The global economic and trade friction index remained at a high level in November last year, reflecting persistent tensions in the international trade environment, along with the profound impacts of geopolitical conflicts and economic policy uncertainties on global supply chains. This index comprehensively assesses the severity of trade frictions by monitoring key indicators such as import-export restrictions, tariff barriers, and trade remedy investigations. Its elevated level indicates a rise in protectionist measures, with many countries frequently employing trade restriction tools to shield domestic industries, leading to increased cross-border trade costs and weakened business confidence.This trend is closely linked to the weak global economic recovery and high inflation. Divergent monetary policies among major economies and sluggish market demand have further intensified international economic and trade frictions. In the long term, sustained trade tensions could inhibit investment and technological innovation, slowing global economic growth, with particularly significant impacts on export-dependent developing countries. International organizations are calling for multilateral dialogue and coordination to reduce frictions and maintain an open and stable international trade order.
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