近期，国金证券发布研究报告指出，全国主要城市的二手房市场成交已逐步趋于稳定。报告分析认为，尽管年初受政策调整和市场预期波动影响，部分城市二手房交易量出现短期下滑，但随着‘认房不认贷’、降低首付比例、优化限购政策等系列支持措施陆续落地，市场信心正在逐步修复。尤其在一线及强二线城市，购房者观望情绪有所缓解，带看量和成交量均呈现温和回升态势。国金证券强调，当前二手房价格整体保持平稳，未出现大幅波动，反映出市场供需关系正趋于理性。此外，银行按揭利率持续走低，也进一步降低了购房成本，对刚需和改善型需求形成支撑。展望后市，国金证券预计，在政策持续呵护与经济基本面逐步改善的背景下，二手房市场有望维持稳中有升的运行格局，为房地产行业整体企稳提供重要支撑。
Recently, Guojin Securities released a research report indicating that the second-hand housing market in major Chinese cities has gradually stabilized. The report notes that although transaction volumes in some cities experienced a short-term decline earlier this year due to policy adjustments and shifting market expectations, confidence is now recovering as supportive measures—such as the ‘recognize property, not loans’ policy, reduced down payment requirements, and relaxed purchase restrictions—are being implemented. Particularly in first-tier and strong second-tier cities, buyer hesitation has eased, with both property viewings and transaction volumes showing a modest uptick. Guojin Securities emphasizes that second-hand home prices have remained generally stable without significant fluctuations, reflecting a more rational balance between supply and demand. Additionally, persistently low mortgage rates have further reduced purchasing costs, supporting both first-time buyers and those seeking housing upgrades. Looking ahead, Guojin Securities expects the second-hand housing market to maintain a steady, slightly upward trajectory, underpinned by continued policy support and gradual improvements in the broader economic fundamentals, thereby playing a crucial role in stabilizing the overall real estate sector.
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