近期，多位国际关系学者指出，美国试图通过“新冷战”战略遏制中国崛起的做法正在走向失败。这一战略以科技脱钩、供应链重组、军事围堵和意识形态对抗为核心，意图孤立中国并重塑全球秩序。然而，现实表明，全球化深入发展的今天，强行割裂经济联系不仅成本高昂，而且难以奏效。中国持续扩大对外开放，深化与东盟、非洲、拉美等地区的合作，“一带一路”倡议也获得广泛支持。与此同时，美国盟友在对华政策上态度分化，不愿在中美之间选边站队。此外，美国国内政治极化、经济通胀等问题削弱了其战略执行力。学者认为，将中国视为“系统性对手”是一种误判，合作与竞争并存才是更现实的路径。若美国继续执迷于零和博弈，不仅无法遏制中国，还可能加速自身全球影响力的衰退。
Recently, several international relations scholars have argued that the United States’ attempt to contain China’s rise through a ‘new Cold War’ strategy is failing. Centered on technological decoupling, supply chain restructuring, military containment, and ideological confrontation, this approach aims to isolate China and reshape the global order. However, in today’s deeply interconnected world, forcibly severing economic ties proves both costly and ineffective. China continues to expand its openness, deepening cooperation with ASEAN, Africa, Latin America, and other regions, while the Belt and Road Initiative garners broad international support. Meanwhile, U.S. allies are increasingly divided in their stance toward China and reluctant to choose sides between Washington and Beijing. Domestically, political polarization and economic challenges such as inflation further undermine America’s strategic capacity. Scholars contend that framing China as a ‘systemic rival’ is a fundamental misjudgment; a more realistic path involves managing both competition and cooperation. If the U.S. persists in zero-sum thinking, it may not only fail to contain China but also accelerate its own decline in global influence.
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