近日，智利中部多个车厘子种植园区遭遇严重山火，导致大面积果园被烧毁，引发市场对车厘子供应紧张和价格飙升的担忧。作为全球最大的车厘子出口国，智利每年向中国、美国和欧洲等市场出口数十万吨车厘子，其中中国市场占比超过90%。此次火灾主要集中在瓦尔帕莱索（Valparaíso）和奥伊金斯将军解放者大区（O’Higgins），这些地区是智利车厘子的核心产区。据当地农业部门初步估计，已有数千公顷果园受损，部分果园甚至完全焚毁，恢复生产可能需要数年时间。业内人士指出，若灾情持续影响采摘和物流，2024年底至2025年初的车厘子出口季或将面临减产30%以上的风险，届时全球市场价格，尤其是中国市场的零售价，可能出现显著上涨。消费者或需为节日季（如春节、情人节）的车厘子支付更高价格。目前，智利政府已启动农业援助计划，协助果农重建基础设施并提供财政支持，以尽快恢复产能。
Recently, severe wildfires in central Chile have devastated large areas of cherry orchards, raising concerns about supply shortages and potential price hikes. As the world’s largest exporter of cherries, Chile ships hundreds of thousands of tons annually to markets including China, the United States, and Europe, with China alone accounting for over 90% of its exports. The fires primarily affected the Valparaíso and O’Higgins regions—key cherry-producing areas in the country. According to preliminary estimates from Chilean agricultural authorities, thousands of hectares of orchards have been damaged, with some completely destroyed; full recovery could take several years. Industry experts warn that if the disaster continues to disrupt harvesting and logistics, the upcoming export season (late 2024 to early 2025) could see production drop by more than 30%, likely driving up global cherry prices—especially in China. Consumers may face significantly higher retail prices during key holiday periods such as Chinese New Year and Valentine’s Day. The Chilean government has already launched an agricultural relief program to help growers rebuild infrastructure and provide financial support to accelerate recovery.
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