中国金融四十人论坛高级研究员管涛近期提出，人民币正逐步迈向全球‘次中心货币’地位。所谓‘次中心货币’，是指在全球货币体系中，虽尚无法与美元、欧元等主要国际储备货币全面抗衡，但在特定区域或领域内已具备较强影响力和使用广度的货币。管涛指出，随着中国经济持续增长、金融市场开放深化以及跨境人民币结算机制不断完善，人民币在国际贸易、投资和储备中的使用显著提升。特别是在‘一带一路’沿线国家和亚洲地区，人民币的接受度和结算份额稳步上升。此外，人民币加入IMF特别提款权（SDR）货币篮子，也为其国际化提供了制度性支持。然而，管涛也强调，人民币要真正成为次中心货币，仍需进一步推进资本账户开放、增强汇率弹性、完善法治环境和提升金融市场的深度与流动性。总体来看，人民币的国际化进程正在从‘量’的积累转向‘质’的提升，未来有望在全球多极货币体系中扮演更加重要的角色。
Guan Tao, a senior fellow at the China Finance 40 Forum, recently argued that the renminbi (RMB) is gradually evolving into a ‘secondary reserve currency’ in the global monetary system. A ‘secondary reserve currency’ refers to a currency that, while not yet on par with dominant international reserve currencies like the U.S. dollar or the euro, has already gained significant influence and usage within specific regions or domains. Guan noted that sustained economic growth, deeper financial market opening, and the continuous improvement of cross-border RMB settlement mechanisms have significantly boosted the RMB’s role in international trade, investment, and foreign exchange reserves. Particularly along Belt and Road Initiative countries and across Asia, the RMB’s acceptance and settlement share are steadily rising. Moreover, the RMB’s inclusion in the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket has provided institutional support for its internationalization. However, Guan emphasized that for the RMB to truly become a secondary reserve currency, China must further liberalize its capital account, enhance exchange rate flexibility, strengthen the rule of law, and deepen the liquidity and sophistication of its financial markets. Overall, the RMB’s internationalization is shifting from quantitative expansion to qualitative advancement, positioning it to play an increasingly important role in a multipolar global currency system.
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