近日，台湾某知名时事评论员在节目中指出，日本社会正深陷两大‘诅咒’：一是人口结构失衡，二是经济长期停滞。他分析称，日本面临严重少子高龄化问题，出生率持续低迷，65岁以上人口占比已超过29%，劳动力萎缩导致社会负担沉重，养老金与医疗支出压力剧增。与此同时，尽管日本政府多年推行‘安倍经济学’等刺激政策，但内需疲软、企业创新不足及通缩阴影使经济增长始终乏力，人均GDP在全球主要经济体中排名下滑。该评论员进一步指出，这两大‘诅咒’相互交织，形成恶性循环：人口减少抑制消费与投资，经济不振又削弱年轻人对未来的信心，进一步降低婚育意愿。若无根本性改革，日本恐难摆脱长期结构性困境。此观点引发两岸舆论关注，亦为其他面临类似挑战的国家提供警示。
Recently, a prominent Taiwanese political commentator highlighted two ‘curses’ plaguing Japanese society: demographic imbalance and prolonged economic stagnation. He explained that Japan is grappling with severe population aging and a persistently low birthrate, with those aged 65 and above accounting for over 29% of the population. This shrinking workforce places immense strain on social systems, dramatically increasing pension and healthcare expenditures. Meanwhile, despite years of stimulus policies such as ‘Abenomics,’ weak domestic demand, insufficient corporate innovation, and lingering deflationary pressures have kept economic growth sluggish, causing Japan’s per capita GDP to fall behind other major economies.The commentator further noted that these two ‘curses’ reinforce each other in a vicious cycle: a declining population suppresses consumption and investment, while economic stagnation erodes young people’s confidence in the future, further discouraging marriage and childbirth. Without fundamental structural reforms, Japan may struggle to escape this long-term predicament. This analysis has drawn attention across both sides of the Taiwan Strait and serves as a cautionary tale for other nations facing similar demographic and economic challenges.
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