据最新市场消息，今晚24时起，国内成品油价格或将迎来2026年首次上调。此次调价主要受国际原油市场近期持续走强影响。过去两周，布伦特和WTI原油期货价格双双突破每桶85美元，主要因中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧、OPEC+延长减产协议以及全球能源需求预期回暖等因素共同推动。根据国家发改委成品油调价机制，若国际市场原油连续10个工作日移动平均价格变化幅度超过50元/吨，国内油价将相应调整。本轮计价周期内，原油变化率已显著高于调价红线，预计92号汽油每升将上涨约0.15元，95号汽油和0号柴油涨幅也将在相近区间。此次涨价虽幅度不大，但作为2026年首次上调，可能对居民出行成本和物流运输带来一定影响。专家建议车主可提前加油以规避小幅上涨，并关注后续国际油价走势。若地缘冲突持续或全球经济复苏超预期，不排除年内油价进一步上行的可能。
According to the latest market reports, domestic refined oil prices in China are expected to see their first increase of 2026 effective at 24:00 tonight. This adjustment is primarily driven by the recent sustained rally in international crude oil markets. Over the past two weeks, both Brent and WTI crude futures have surged above $85 per barrel, fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, OPEC+ extending its production cuts, and renewed optimism about global energy demand.Under China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) pricing mechanism, domestic fuel prices are adjusted when the 10-day moving average of international crude prices changes by more than 50 yuan per ton. In this pricing cycle, the crude oil price change rate has significantly exceeded the threshold, leading to an estimated increase of approximately ¥0.15 per liter for Grade 92 gasoline, with similar hikes anticipated for Grade 95 gasoline and Grade 0 diesel.Although modest in scale, this first price hike of 2026 may slightly affect household transportation costs and logistics expenses. Experts recommend drivers refuel before the adjustment takes effect and closely monitor future trends in global oil prices. Should geopolitical risks persist or global economic recovery outperform expectations, further upward pressure on domestic fuel prices remains possible throughout the year.
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