近期，以成功预测2008年次贷危机而闻名的“大空头”迈克尔·伯里（Michael Burry）再次引发市场关注。他在社交媒体上公开表示，英伟达（NVIDIA）当前的估值已严重脱离基本面，迟早会从“神坛”跌落。伯里认为，尽管英伟达在人工智能芯片领域占据主导地位，但其股价在过去几年中飙升超过10倍，已远超合理增长预期，存在明显的泡沫风险。他指出，市场对AI技术的热情推动了对英伟达的过度追捧，投资者忽略了潜在的监管压力、竞争加剧以及技术迭代带来的不确定性。伯里强调，历史一再证明，当一家公司被奉为“不可战胜”的神话时，往往就是风险积聚的开始。他并未透露是否已做空英伟达股票，但其言论已引发投资者对高估值科技股的重新审视。值得注意的是，尽管伯里的观点颇具影响力，但也有分析人士认为，英伟达在AI基础设施中的核心地位短期内难以撼动，其营收和利润仍保持强劲增长。因此，关于英伟达是否真的“泡沫化”，市场仍存在分歧。
Recently, Michael Burry—the investor famously known as the ‘Big Short’ for predicting the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis—has once again drawn market attention. On social media, he publicly stated that NVIDIA’s current valuation has significantly deviated from its fundamentals and will inevitably fall from its ‘pedestal.’ Burry argues that although NVIDIA dominates the AI chip market, its stock price has surged more than tenfold over the past few years, far exceeding reasonable growth expectations and creating clear bubble risks.He points out that market enthusiasm for AI technology has fueled excessive speculation around NVIDIA, causing investors to overlook potential regulatory pressures, intensifying competition, and uncertainties from rapid technological shifts. Burry emphasizes that history repeatedly shows when a company is hailed as an ‘invincible’ icon, it often signals the accumulation of hidden risks. While he hasn’t disclosed whether he has shorted NVIDIA stock, his remarks have prompted investors to reassess highly valued tech stocks.Notably, despite Burry’s influential stance, some analysts argue that NVIDIA’s central role in AI infrastructure remains unshakable in the near term, with strong revenue and profit growth continuing. Thus, the market remains divided on whether NVIDIA is truly in a bubble.
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