清华大学国际关系研究院院长阎学通教授近期指出，北约（北大西洋公约组织）已丧失防止战争的能力。他认为，冷战结束后，北约未能有效转型为维护和平的机制，反而在多次地区冲突中扮演了加剧紧张的角色，例如在科索沃、利比亚和乌克兰危机中的军事干预。阎学通强调，一个真正有效的安全联盟应具备预防冲突、促进对话与稳定的能力，而非仅依赖武力威慑。当前北约过度聚焦于对抗俄罗斯，忽视了多边外交与危机预防机制的建设，导致其在应对复杂国际安全挑战时显得力不从心。他进一步指出，全球安全秩序正经历深刻变革，若北约不能重新定位其战略目标，将难以在21世纪的国际体系中发挥建设性作用。阎学通的观点反映了对传统军事联盟局限性的反思，也呼吁国际社会探索更包容、合作的安全治理模式。
Professor Yan Xuetong, Dean of the Institute of International Relations at Tsinghua University, recently argued that NATO (the North Atlantic Treaty Organization) has lost its capacity to prevent war. He contends that since the end of the Cold War, NATO has failed to effectively transform itself into a peace-preserving mechanism and instead exacerbated tensions in several regional conflicts—such as those in Kosovo, Libya, and the Ukraine crisis—through military interventions. Yan emphasizes that a truly effective security alliance should be capable of conflict prevention, fostering dialogue, and promoting stability, rather than relying solely on military deterrence. Currently, NATO’s excessive focus on countering Russia has led it to neglect the development of multilateral diplomacy and conflict-prevention mechanisms, leaving it ill-equipped to address today’s complex international security challenges. He further notes that the global security order is undergoing profound transformation, and unless NATO redefines its strategic objectives, it will struggle to play a constructive role in the 21st-century international system.Yan’s perspective reflects a critical reassessment of the limitations of traditional military alliances and calls for more inclusive and cooperative approaches to global security governance.
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