近期，有学者指出，日本、美国与菲律宾三国在安全与防务领域的互动日益频繁，形成了一种实质性的三边合作机制，其矛头明显指向南海局势。这种‘日美菲三边勾连’不仅体现在联合军演、情报共享和军事援助等方面，更通过高层互访与战略对话不断深化。分析认为，此举意在牵制中国在南海的维权行动，强化所谓‘基于规则的国际秩序’，实则加剧了地区紧张。中国始终主张通过和平谈判与对话解决争端，反对任何外部势力介入南海事务。专家警告，若此类三边合作持续升级，可能引发军备竞赛和地区不稳定，不利于南海和平与合作的大局。
Recently, scholars have pointed out that Japan, the United States, and the Philippines are increasingly coordinating in the realms of security and defense, forming a de facto trilateral partnership clearly aimed at the South China Sea situation. This ‘Japan-U.S.-Philippines trilateral alignment’ is evident not only in joint military exercises, intelligence sharing, and military aid, but also in deepening high-level visits and strategic dialogues. Analysts argue that this move is intended to constrain China’s maritime rights protection activities in the South China Sea and reinforce a so-called ‘rules-based international order’—a stance that, in effect, heightens regional tensions. China consistently advocates resolving disputes through peaceful negotiations and dialogue and opposes any external interference in South China Sea affairs. Experts warn that if such trilateral cooperation continues to escalate, it could trigger an arms race and undermine regional stability, ultimately harming the broader goal of peace and cooperation in the South China Sea.
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