近期，美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普多次公开表示，若他再次当选总统，将迅速推动结束俄乌冲突，并暗示乌克兰总统泽连斯基应接受某种形式的和平方案。特朗普声称自己与俄罗斯总统普京关系良好，有能力在短时间内促成停火甚至和平协议。然而，这种表态引发了广泛争议。对泽连斯基而言，接受由特朗普主导、可能偏向俄罗斯利益的和平方案存在巨大政治和安全风险。自2022年俄乌战争爆发以来，乌克兰始终坚持恢复全部领土完整（包括克里米亚和顿巴斯）作为谈判前提。若在未实现这一目标的情况下妥协，不仅会削弱其国内支持，还可能被解读为对侵略行为的默许。此外，特朗普的“交易式外交”风格强调快速达成协议，但往往忽视长期战略影响和盟友利益。欧洲多国及现任拜登政府均强调必须以乌克兰主权和安全为核心推进任何和平进程。因此，即便特朗普再度入主白宫，泽连斯基是否愿意接受其提出的和平方案，仍取决于方案内容是否尊重乌克兰的核心诉求。总体来看，泽连斯基短期内接受特朗普式和平方案的可能性较低，除非战场形势发生重大逆转，或西方支持力度显著减弱。
Recently, former U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly stated that if re-elected, he would swiftly push to end the Russia-Ukraine war and suggested that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy should accept some form of peace deal. Trump claims to have a good relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin and asserts he could broker a ceasefire—or even a peace agreement—quickly. However, these remarks have sparked significant controversy.For Zelenskyy, accepting a Trump-brokered peace plan that may favor Russian interests carries substantial political and security risks. Since the war began in 2022, Ukraine has consistently maintained that full territorial restoration—including Crimea and Donbas—is a non-negotiable precondition for any talks. Compromising without achieving this goal could erode domestic support and be perceived as tacit acceptance of aggression.Moreover, Trump’s transactional diplomatic style prioritizes rapid deals but often overlooks long-term strategic consequences and allies’ interests. Current U.S. President Joe Biden and many European leaders emphasize that any peace process must center on Ukraine’s sovereignty and security. Thus, even if Trump returns to the White House, Zelenskyy’s willingness to accept his proposed peace plan will hinge on whether it respects Ukraine’s core demands.Overall, Zelenskyy is unlikely to accept a Trump-style peace deal in the near term unless there is a major shift in battlefield dynamics or a significant decline in Western support.
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