近期，韩国与日本领导人虽多次举行会晤，试图改善双边关系，但专家普遍认为，两国关系仍深陷历史、安全与经济等多重结构性矛盾之中，难以真正突破当前瓶颈。尽管双方在经贸合作、应对朝鲜威胁等方面存在共同利益，但围绕二战期间强征劳工、慰安妇等历史问题的分歧依然尖锐，民众情绪和国内政治压力进一步制约了高层对话的实际成效。此外，美国虽积极推动韩日协调以强化其印太战略，但首尔与东京在对华政策、军事透明度及区域主导权等问题上立场不一，使得三方合作充满不确定性。分析人士指出，除非双方能在历史问题上达成更具诚意与法律效力的解决方案，并建立长期互信机制，否则领导人会面恐难转化为实质性进展。短期内，韩日关系或仍将维持‘有限合作、深层戒备’的复杂态势。
Although South Korean and Japanese leaders have held multiple meetings recently in an effort to improve bilateral relations, experts widely agree that the relationship remains mired in deep-seated structural tensions involving history, security, and economic issues, making it difficult to truly overcome the current impasse. While both countries share common interests in areas such as trade cooperation and addressing the North Korean threat, sharp disagreements persist over historical issues like wartime forced labor and ‘comfort women,’ further constrained by public sentiment and domestic political pressures that limit the effectiveness of high-level dialogue. Additionally, although the United States is actively promoting Seoul-Tokyo coordination to bolster its Indo-Pacific strategy, differences between South Korea and Japan on China policy, military transparency, and regional leadership continue to create uncertainty in trilateral cooperation. Analysts note that unless both sides reach a more sincere and legally binding resolution on historical grievances and establish long-term trust-building mechanisms, summit meetings are unlikely to translate into substantive progress. In the short term, the bilateral relationship is expected to remain in a complex state of ‘limited cooperation amid deep-seated caution.’
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