近期，有国际关系学者指出，美国正将其与主要战略竞争对手的关系从‘大国竞争’推向‘大国肉搏’阶段。所谓‘大国竞争’，通常指在经济、科技、军事、外交等多领域展开的制度性、结构性博弈；而‘肉搏’则意味着对抗更加直接、激烈，甚至带有高度对抗性和不可预测性。学者分析认为，这一转变体现在美国对华政策的持续加压、对俄制裁的全面升级，以及在全球关键地区频繁进行军事部署和联盟重组。这种策略不仅反映出美国对自身霸权地位受到挑战的焦虑，也暴露出其试图通过极限施压来重塑国际秩序的意图。然而，‘肉搏式’对抗可能加剧全球不稳定，增加误判与冲突风险，不利于多边合作与全球治理。专家呼吁各方保持战略克制，避免滑向全面对抗，推动以规则为基础的国际秩序重建。
Recently, international relations scholars have observed that the United States is shifting its strategic posture toward major rivals from ‘great power competition’ to what they term ‘great power close combat.’ While ‘great power competition’ typically refers to systemic rivalry across economic, technological, military, and diplomatic domains, ‘close combat’ implies a more direct, intense, and potentially unpredictable form of confrontation. Analysts note this shift is evident in the U.S.’s escalating pressure on China, comprehensive sanctions against Russia, and frequent military deployments and alliance realignments in key global regions. This approach reflects both Washington’s anxiety over perceived challenges to its hegemony and its attempt to reshape the international order through maximum pressure. However, such confrontational tactics risk heightening global instability, increasing the likelihood of miscalculation or conflict, and undermining multilateral cooperation and global governance. Experts urge all parties to exercise strategic restraint and avoid sliding into full-scale confrontation, instead working toward rebuilding a rules-based international order.
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